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    海協會長陳德銘:大陸沒管控赴臺游客

    時間:2016-10-19 09:48   來源:觀察者網

    海協會會長陳德銘

      海協會會長陳德銘

      據新加坡聯合早報9月20日報道,海峽兩岸關系協會(海協會)會長陳德銘否認大陸刻意管控赴臺陸客人數,并稱大陸沒有對綠營和藍營執政縣市實行“差異化待遇”。雖然大陸向8個承認“九二共識”的臺灣縣市釋出旅游利多,但他堅稱,“大陸游客最后到哪兒去旅游,是由他們來選擇的”。

      陳德銘還期盼蔡英文能對“九二共識”或“兩岸同屬一中”作出明確表態,但他坦言現實讓人“不能盲目樂觀”,雖然盼望海協會與海基會能正常開展工作,但“現實使我很難實現這個愿望”。

      上周,陳德銘抵達新加坡出席“新加坡峰會”,18日在接受《聯合早報》專訪時作出上述表示。

      眼下因兩岸關系冷淡,陸客赴臺人數驟減,令臺灣觀光業者大嘆生意難做,在本月12日舉行了大規模抗議游行活動。蔡英文當局任命的海基會會長田弘茂12日上任,談話中始終回避“九二共識”,向海協會發布的函電內容也未提及“九二共識”。

      遼寧團事件后,臺官方未譴責仇恨言論令人氣憤

      陳德銘說,陸客赴臺人數減少的原因“比較復雜”,特別是520之后,大陸民眾很關心兩岸關系的變化,在選擇旅游點時會根據形勢調整,24名遼寧團觀光客活活被燒死的慘劇也影響陸客赴臺意愿。

      令陳德銘感到氣憤的是,臺灣媒體報道稱,事發后,有臺灣網民發表“中國支那豬去死吧”的仇恨言論,臺灣官方卻沒有站出來譴責。他總結,“遼寧團事件是一個個案,但也跟臺灣長期的一些人搞‘臺獨’思想,搞‘恐中’的這些渲染也有一定的關系。”

      520之后,上海與臺北的城市交流沒有中斷,但大陸其他城市卻缺席高雄港灣城市論壇。陳德銘也強調沒有“差異化待遇”,關鍵在于臺灣的市縣長們持什么態度,臺北市長柯文哲就曾明確表示,“沒有誰說過兩岸不是一個中國的概念”。

      北京過去八年積極爭取臺灣民心,國民黨在今年1月的“總統”選舉中落敗。陳德銘不認為這表明北京對臺工作有不足之處或需要修正,并強調大陸的對臺政策,從江澤民、胡錦濤到習近平一脈相承,長期在沿海地區工作的習近平對臺灣了解很深,“既有感情,又有理性”。

      重點是做好青年工作,不認同“天然獨”的說法

      陳德銘還表示,“我們的工作重點著重于做人民的工作,做青年的工作。我們的兩岸工作會一如既往地做下去,總的大方向、方針都是正確的。當然隨著臺灣局勢的變化,我們工作的重點和具體方式會與時俱進做些微調。”

      例如,520以后,大陸要直接到臺灣與青年交往會困難一些,因此北京會進一步開放大陸市場,為兩岸學生的交流、學習及臺灣青年到大陸工作盡量創造更好的條件。

      臺灣發生過“太陽花學運”,香港也經歷“雨傘運動”,兩地年輕人也先后在地方選舉中崛起,但陳德銘并不擔心“臺獨”、“港獨”兩股勢力匯集成趨勢。他說,在經濟全球化的當下各種思潮都有,關鍵要看主流思潮,并認為臺灣的主流民意是“認可兩岸是一個民族,共同的祖先,血脈濃于水”。

      對于蔡英文將臺灣年輕世代形容為“天然獨”,陳德銘也不認同。他說,“任何一個人出身、成長就是在一個社會環境里,這個環境一定是由前人造成的。”至于香港問題就更不一樣了,他認為,香港已經回歸中國,國際上所有國家都承認香港是中華人民共和國的一部分,“有人鬧點事,沒有什么值得大驚小怪”。

      陳德銘雖然拒絕對蔡英文執政百日作評價,但表示已注意到她的“支持率有明顯下降”,還說“不當家不知道油米貴”。

      至于蔡英文執政期間,兩岸是否可能依照“習馬會”模式舉行一場“習蔡會” ,陳德銘指出,兩岸領導人會面必須有一定的基礎和前提,這就看蔡英文和民進黨是否能“看清時勢、看清歷史必然的發展”。

      對蔡英文承認“九二共識”無法盲目樂觀

      就短期而言,陳德銘悲觀評估,目前看不到兩岸兩會有恢復正式協商的政治基礎。他稱,“我們當然還是希望將來會有這個基礎,但是我也不能面對現實盲目樂觀,現在看來這種可能性還不是太(可能)……我還在看吧,還看不到。”不過,他對兩岸關系的最終走向仍充滿信心,堅信兩岸和平發展是一個必然趨勢,任何人也阻擋不了。

      陳德銘說:“在這個漫長的一個歷史過程中,有高潮、有低潮、有起伏。即便兩岸關系進入一定的低潮,我們仍然要做工作,因為我們寄希望于人民,不是某一個政黨和某一個個人。”

      不過,在談及海基會新任會長田弘茂時,作為海協會掌舵手的陳德銘顯然對其發出的函電內容很不滿意,他嚴詞批評蔡英文雖然多次表示要維持現狀,實際上卻未做到。

      他說,過去八年,海基會會長每次更換都會給海協會發函,表示雙方在“九二共識”下繼續開展兩岸和平合作的協商,但蔡英文卻沒有繼承前兩屆政府承認“九二共識”的做法,“所有明白人都知道,現狀并沒有維持住”。

      蔡英文在520就職典禮上表明,民進黨政府會“依據‘中華民國憲法’、兩岸人民關系條例及其他相關法律”來處理兩岸事務。有分析認為,蔡英文已借此迂回帶出“一個國家兩個地區的涵義”,滿足了北京劃下承認“九二共識“或兩岸同屬“一中”的政治底線。但北京沒有讓蔡英文過關,國臺辦當天即以“沒有完成的答卷”做回應。

      陳德銘以“猶抱琵琶半遮面”形容蔡英文的表態模糊,強調大陸一定要很明確知道,兩岸兩會是在一個國家下的兩個授權機構在交往,還是國際的一個雙邊機構在交往;若是后者,兩會就無法復談。

      他向蔡英文喊話:“不能讓我們去猜,你應該很明確。你說你要維持現狀,現狀就是兩岸、兩會是在‘九二共識’上交往。你現在不維持這個現狀,我就沒法做下去了。”

      陳德銘還強調,臺灣若要參加國際會議或多邊活動,兩岸必須先進行協商,而協商要在“九二共識”或者兩岸同屬“一中”的前提下進行,“沒有這種前提,這事情也就不存在了。”對此,聯合早報記者分析認為,沒有“九二共識”的政治基礎,臺灣派代表出席亞太經濟合作組織(APEC)領導人峰會或參加國際民航組織(ICAO)大會等國際會議都可能會碰一鼻子灰。

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